Yintoni eza kwenzeka Ukraine kwixesha elizayo? Ikamva Ukraine: sase-. imephu Ikamva Ukraine

Kule mihla abantu abaninzi eniyicelayo: into elinde Ukraine kwixesha elizayo? Kakhulu exakekile ngoku siphila ilizwe: euromaidan, uqhankqalazo, irallie abahlali kweKhabhinethi ngamandla ... nini kwaye yintoni iza kuphela yombhodamo kweli lizwe? Njengoko iza kuphuhliswa kobudlelane elizayo phakathi kweentlanga ezimbini akowenu, Russian kunye Ukrainian? Yintoni ukulungele ukuya iinkokheli Ukrainian ukubuyisela imeko kweli lizwe? Makhe zama ukuqikelela uphuhliso lwezopolitiko noqoqosho karhulumente.

Ukraine: Chronicle of Events

Njani ukuba kwaqala? 28-29 Novemba 2013 e Vilnius ibambe ingqungquthela "Eastern Partnership" azinikele wokutyikitywa kwesivumelwano unxulumano phakathi kwe -EU kunye Ukraine. Kodwa kwiintsuku ezimbalwa phambi kokuba uRhulumente imemezele ukumiswa amalungiselelo esi siganeko omkhulu kwilizwe. November 21 kumbindi Kiev yaba koqhankqalazo yokuqala, injongo ephambili apho inkxaso Ukuhlanganiswa yaseYurophu. -Lenga "Eastern Partnership" nangoku kubanjwa. Kodwa isivumelwano umbutho Ukraine kunye EU satyikitywa kuyo. A wave entsha uqhankqalazo. Uqhekeko demonstrators medium ukuba "ngcathu" kunye radicals. NgoDisemba 1, kwi-Independence House Last soyise kweemanyano zabasebenzi kunye nokwakha i Kyïv rada. Ngoku abantu nje kuphela egameni wokutyikitywa ukulawula ka Ukraine kwisivumelwano EU, kodwa ifuna yokurhoxa ngurhulumente ngoku, elikhokelwa nguMongameli uViktor Yanukovych. Ke kaloku, kwakukho abo kurhulumente zokuhlangabezana kunye namazwe EU. Ngokubambisana ne-Russia, babona ikamva Ukraine. Liqikelele uphuhliso yayo ngakumbi ukuba akukho mntu waba nabuganga ukuyenza. Ngelo xesha, uqhankqalazo kunye ukungqubana radicals kunye athathwe kwi nasezitratweni yaqhubeka. Ngenxa yoko, i-Verkhovna rada ekupheleni kukaFebruwari bagxothwa Viktora Yanukovicha kumandla, izilungiso siseko lizwe bamisa Somlomo Oleksandr Turchynov ngenxa isithuba sokubambela ngumengameli. Oku kwabangela ukuba uhlolo olungumxube kwezopolitiko zehlabathi. Yinto eyaziwayo ukuba eMoscow oluchasene izenzo ezinjalo kurhulumente Ukrainian, ebabiza niyimigqakhwe ngoko. iinkokeli US ne EU inkxaso eKiev yanamhlanje. Kuza kwenzeka ntoni elandelayo? Bamazwe lombono ezahlukeneyo ikamva Ukraine.

Yintoni elindele lizwe emva konyulo ku May 25?

UViktor Yanukovych ngenkani isuswe ngamandla. Ngaphezu koko, kwafuneka ashiye ilizwe ukuze basindise ubomi babo. Intloko urhulumente waba Arseny Yatsenyuk, enye yeenkokheli eziphambili inkcaso kwi Maidan. Meyi nokhetho 25 Ukraine. Wayechaza contenders iphambili ye-Ofisi kaMongameli. Le ex-prime ngumlungiseleli Yulia Tymoshenko kunye oligarch Pet Poroshenko. Makhe sibone indlela unyulo oluzayo iya kuchaphazela ikamva Ukraine. Emva Independence iinkanuko kweli lizwe liyenyuka. izazinzulu Western kwezopolitiko bakholelwa ukuba unyulo kamongameli kunye nokuguqulwa kwayo Ukraine kuya kukhokelela uzinzo kunye kuqheleke ngemeko emandundu ngeli xesha yoqoqosho. ukuzithemba rating eliphezulu kakhulu xa bakhaya ukusuka umgqatswa kamongameli Petro Poroshenko. imbono abaninzi kwezopolitiko bakholelwa ukuba uza kuphumelela unyulo. umsebenzi wakhe, njengoko abathile abahlalutyi zopolitiko, iya kuqala kut- umba wokubuyiswa eCrimea kwi Ukraine. Kusoloko kukho nefuthe elibi kubudlelwane phakathi eRashiya "geqe." Ngaphezu koko, oko kuya kuba negalelo Ukuhlanganiswa yokugqibela kunye EU. Ubuncinane, into yokuqala ukulungele ukwenza njengomongameli, ngoko umiselwe kolawulo visa-free kunye namazwe EU. Xa amathuba Yulii Timoshenko ukuba liwina ukhetho ngaphantsi, njengokuba abaninzi bakholelwa ukuba le kumzantsi-mpuma lizwe ngokuchasene ahlale kule ndawo. Nantsi wabonisa njani umgaqo-Ukraine kwixesha elizayo xa iba intloko karhulumente: "Kweli lizwe kwasekwa Njengesimongameli olomeleleyo. Yena uya kuba phantsi zonke izakhiwo zikarhulumente. nkqubo Tymoshenko iza swi koti ku West. Ke Russia, koko uMongameli wayo Mam uya kwakha 'esithi "kunye nobudlelwane ngokunyanisa, ukuba ukufumana okuninzi kubo. Ngokukodwa, oku kusebenza igesi amanani. Ngoko ke, lo mfazi uya uzulazule ngempumelelo phakathi EU naseRashiya. "

Imeko yezoqoqosho Ukraine ngoku nakwixesha elizayo

media Russian ukugcina ephindaphinda iinkcukacha ukuba imeko yemali Ukraine amagqabi kakhulu ukuba namhlanje oyifunayo. uqoqosho lwelizwe itshatyalaliswa. Koko kuxhomekeke kwi-mboleko kunye noncedo-mali evela eYurophu nase-United States. Mhlawumbi olu lwazi malunga imeko yemali eUkraine ngendlela ebaxiweyo, kodwa isibakala sokuba eli lizwe inkxaso ebalulekileyo evela ngaphandle, ukuphepha olungagqibekanga, nto ifana kakhulu inyaniso. Makhe zama ukuqikelela ikamva kwezoqoqosho Ukraine. Sezulu labahlalutyi ngokuphathelele oku yedanisayo. I-European Union namhlanje uyasokola ukwandisa yonke uncedo kunokwenzeka ukuba uqoqosho kazwelonke Ukraine. Oku mboleko kunye noncedo ekunciphiseni ukuxhomekeka igesi Russian, kunye nokunciphisa imisebenzi amasiko phezu kwempahla esuka kumazwe impahla Ukrainian. Noko ke, le uncedo ayikho ukulwa. Ukuhlawulela yonke into. Ke Ukraine kwixa elizayo kuya kufuneka ahlawule le "ntsikelelo" bonke: ukuhlawula amatyala ngomdla, nokwenza utshintsho ebalulekileyo nkqubo zentlalo aphula i imicimbi yezemali abemi abaqhelekileyo. Ngenxa yoko, ngokutsho iingcali, eli lizwe uya kugxothwa ibe yintlekele yokudodobala koqoqosho nokuba nzulu. Ekuhambeni kwexesha, i-EU uyala ukunceda Ukraine, njengoko onke amanyathelo ukubuyisela uqoqosho lwayo luya kuba yayingaphelele. umngcipheko Okuninzi izinto ezizezabo-ntle ngenxa iYurophu likarhulumente awufuni ukuba. Yintoni eza kwenzeka Ukraine kwixesha elizayo kule meko? Apha kweli lizwe, urhulumente ngoku uzama ukujongela impembelelo eMoscow ngemeko kweli lizwe kungenzeka ukuba kunyanzeleka ukuba ucele uncedo in Russian. Okwangoku, uMongameli Vladimir Putin wathi loo nto ukwala inkxaso yemali Ukraine. Kodwa aphake mboleko ummelwane, urhulumente Russian nga kuphela xa kukho into ngurhulumente osemthethweni ukuba kuyilwa.

Imephu Ukraine emva kokuba wezulu yahlula

Kutshanje, bambalwa abantu babekholelwa ukuba eCrimea uya kuba Russian kwakhona. Kodwa ke ukuza kuthi ga ngoku, oku kunjalo. NaseYurophu kunye United States kufuneka baqaphele oku njengento accompli bakwazi. Meyi 11, 2014-zimvo yabanjwa kwi Lugansk kunye seDonetsk nemimandla, nto leyo ekhokelele abemi le mimandla benze isaziso ubukhosi babo. Kodwa ukuba abezopolitiko ihlabathi ayaqonda le nto? Ke ngoku yintoni eza kwenzeka asanda kubalwa Luhansk kunye IDonetsk Abantu Republic? ukuba bangene ziiyunithi ezizimeleyo Ukraine okanye Russia wabhenela urhulumente kunye nesicelo ukuba ubasuse? Iingcali Political bathi de kutshanje kwaba ngoko nangoko ukuthintela ukuba ngokuwa lizwe yi-federalization kunye nokunika amalungelo ngakumbi kwimimandla. Kwaye namhlanje kukho imeko enjalo ukuba ulahlekile eCrimea, kwaye linokuba ngaphandle kwe-mpuma, labantu zigazi asingabo bonke kuxhasa urhulumente yangoku eyayiseKiev. Yintoni eza kwenzeka Ukraine kwixesha elizayo? Lixesha lokuba benze utshintsho kwezinye kwimephu kweli lizwe? Ngokutsho nabakhwitsi Pavel Globa, kude 2020 kwintlekele yoqoqosho yokugqibela kweli lizwe. Lwakugqitywa wayo, baguqula imaphu kwezopolitiko zehlabathi. Ngo-2014, urhulumente wahlulwe ube zahlulo zithathu. Enye yazo iya kuba yinxalenye Russia, njengokuba nathi ngoku sibona umzekelo eCrimea. Inxalenye yesibini kwala ukuthobela eKiev kwaye yenza ulawulo yayo, yintoni sibona ngalo mzuzu kwi Donbass. Ekuhambeni kwexesha, njengoko abavumisi ngeenkwenkwezi bathi, ummandla urhulumente naye ulahlekelwe. Kusenokwenzeka ukuba Ukraine ngokwayo emva asakhulayo ukusuka kwintlekele yoqoqosho lwehlabathi njengoko urhulumente uza kuyeka ukuba khona. Njengoko, ke, kunye EU. Le uluvo ayinyani kunye umhlahlo Pavla Globy.

Yintoni esongela Ukraine, ukulahleka imimandla wasempuma?

Emva kokuba zimvo ngoMeyi 11, IDonetsk kunye Luhansk wathi geqe. Kule Uxhulumaniso nanku umbuzo: Yintoni eza kwenzeka Ukraine kwixesha elizayo ukuba ngaba ungalahla la ndawo? izazinzulu yezopolitiko kule mbuzo wavakalisa uluvo eqhelekileyo: akayi kuba nako ukuhlawula ngokupheleleyo mboleko elinikwe yi-European Union kunye ne-United States urhulumente. IMF ulumkisa Kiev ilungelo ukuba kwimeko zokulahleka kwiingingqi zabo mpuma kusenokufuna imali eyongezelelweyo kuqoqosho. Eneneni, eKharkov, imimandla Lugansk kunye IDonetsk bebekelwa kwi-30% yamashishini industrial karhulumente. Ngokutsho umhlaziyi Russian, ikamva Ukraine - xa federalization kweli lizwe. Ukuba ndikhusele umkam uqhekeko.

Ukraine and "abathengi" yayo eziphezulu

I-EU kunye US bethatha ekuxhaseni urhulumente ngoku e Kiev, bebatyhola kokuphazamisa meko kweli lizwe weRashiya. Kuba inxenye yabo, uqala ukwayo ezintsha nxamnye Moscow, enqwenela ngaleyo ndlela 'soyikiso "ye Russian Federation kwaye ukususa impembelelo kwi kwezopolitiko Ukrainian. Yintoni ebangela ukuba iinkokheli Europe kunye United States ngelo xesha? Ngaba nje omnye njongo: ukugcina State imilinganiselo noqhekeko? Makhe sihlolisise le meko wadala yaye ukufumana ukuba yintoni ifuthe le uncedo kwi amandla ukweyisa kwintlekele yoqoqosho kwezopolitiko Ukraine? Uninzi izazinzulu Russian zezopolitiko ayavuma ukuba eUnited States kulo "mdlalo" injongo enye kuphela: ukuba Ukraine ukuya NATO kunye nendawo kwiiyunithi mbutho kufutshane nomda Russia. imbono abaninzi baye kwisigqibo ukuze kwenzeke kakuhle kungekudala. Ilizwe lizibandakanya NATO, yaye Washington ziya kuba nako ukubeka esweni kumanyathelo Moscow, ibekwe kwi imida Russian ziko lomkhosi. Ke umxhasi ezinkulu wesibini lizwe, yaye yonke into icacile. Kulindeleke ukuba i-EU kunye Ukraine kufuneka avule iimarike zazo. amazwe EU ufuna amanqaku amatsha kwentengiso iimveliso zabo. Kulo mzekelo, Ukraine kunye nabantu bayo izigidi eziyi-46 ziya kuba negalelo kwiinguqu eyakhayo EU kuqoqosho. Kodwa kukho injongo omnye kwaye i "nabagcini" likaRhulumente: ukuba buthathaka Russian Federation, nto leyo eye kutshanje sele kudlala indima ebaluleke kwibakala lehlabathi. UMongameli Vladimir Putin uqinisekile ukuba ikamva Ukraine kunye Russia - usondela intsebenziswano kwezoshishino phakathi kwamazwe amabini kunye nenkxaso. Abantu ababini ezinxulumene kufuneka babone ukuba simanyene ukumelana kuphikisana ngoku kwezopolitiko kunye yintlekele yokudodobala koqoqosho. Oku akubiza Russian kunye Ukrainian. Ukuba uthinte uqikelelo zeenkwenkwezi noosiyazi, inkoliso yabo andiyiboni Ukraine kwi -EU. Imiqathango yokungena umbutho nezakhono ilizwe siwenze ngoku, kunokwenziwa isigqibo sokuba ngokudibana akunakwenzeka ukuba kwenzeke.

Indlela yokuphuma lobunzima

Indlela yokusombulula iingxaki ukuphehla Ukraine namhlanje? URhulumente ngoku usiqinisekisa labemi ngaloo ndlela - wokungena EU. Kusolwa kudingeka nje ukuba babe nomonde, ukuba ngalo eli xesha linzima, ukunciphisa izibonelelo zentlalo kunye nokwandisa irente, kwaye ke konke kuzolunga. I-EU kunye US uya kumnika imali kuqoqosho karhulumente indiphilisile waza waqalisa nokukhula kwayo. Ke abemi abaqhelekileyo bakholelwa ukuba kungekudala baya kuphila ngathi baseYurophu, ukuthenga iimveliso ezisemgangathweni kunye nokufumana umvuzo ophucukileyo. Kodwa ngaba kunjalo? Udlame kuyaqhubeka kweli lizwe. imephu sezopolitiko Ukraine emva kokuba Maidan sele itshintshile. I-Russian Federation ligqibe ukukhusela abemi Russian. Isiphumo sale nto sele kwaziwa - Ukraine ilahlekelwe eCrimea, leyo likhaya ngaphezu kwe-70% Russian. Ngoku, ithe yalahleka nefuthe ngakumbi Donbass ukuba uninzi elingancomekiyo kuqoqosho. Imveliso apha kuba omnye kuphela, ngokutsho ukuba izazinzulu ezininzi Russian yezopolitiko: urhulumente kufuneka ajike ubuso bayo ebantwini, ukuba bayeke ukusebenza yokohlwaya empumalanga kwaye uthathe ingqalelo zonke neminqweno yabantu bayo. UMphathiswa of Internal Affairs of the Russian Federation Sergey Lavrov iye yaxoxa ngokuphindaphindiweyo nekuNobhala US of indlela yokuphuma yeengxaki zopolitiko nezentlalo noqoqosho Ukraine. Chief phakathi kwabo - oku ke federalization kweli lizwe. Le nto kanye abaninzi eMpuma wafuna. uqoqosho Ukraine uya kufumana iinguqulelo ezinkulu kwixesha elizayo. Oku kwandiqinisekisa imbono abaninzi namhlanje. Kodwa iza kuphuhlisa njani kuya kuxhomekeka ekubeni yintoni sigqibo siya kuthathwa ngurhulumente e Kiev namhlanje.

Le meko yeenkokeli yanamhlanje e Ukraine

Ke babona uphuhliso ngakumbi abantu lizwe namhlanje namandla e Kiev? Nazi ezinye iingqikelelo malunga nekamva Ukraine abayenzayo. Owenza Abaphathiswa Lemicimbi Foreign Andrei Deshitsa ithi ukusuka eMoscow ngokuqhubekayo wafumana imiyalelo yendlela yokwenza eKiev kuyo nayiphi na imeko ethile. Le meko, ngokwembono yakhe, kufuneka linciphiswe ukuze nto. Kuya kunceda Ukraine kwi-European Union kunye United States. Kungenxa kwi European Union ubona ikamva laso ilizwe lakhe. Ndivumelana naye kunye Prime Minister of Ukraine Arseniy Yatsenyuk. Wathi ukuba lizwe ukuba bajoyine i-EU, hayi Customs Union. Yenza imisebenzi kaMongameli Ukraine ngeli xesha Alexander Turchinov kwakhona ababemelene ungenelelo Russian kwimicimbi ilizwe lakhe. Ngaloo ndlela, sinokugqiba ukuba iinkokeli ekhoyo Ukraine ezibekwe ukuba rapprochement ne-EU kunye nentsebenziswano ne-Russia.

Ubudlelwane phakathi Ukraine naseRussia kwixesha elizayo

Indlela kuya kuchaphazela zonke iziganeko ezenzeka namhlanje kweli lizwe izizwe ngenxa ezimbini ezinxulumeneyo? Ngapha koko, abemi abaninzi eqhelekileyo Ukraine inkxaso norhulumente wabo, ophikisa rapprochement ne-Russia. Ngaba EU kunye nezicwangciso US, indawo engundoqo apho, ngokutsho kwezinye nemilinganiselo ezopolitiko umntu ukumbandakanya izizwe ezibini emaqandeni, iya kuzaliseka? "I-West akanamdla bayahlelwa Ukraine emva Maidan," - wathi inkokeli "ukhetho Ukrainian" Victor Medvedchuk. ziinkokeli zaseYurophu uza kwenza nantoni na ukuphumeza iinjongo zawo. Yaye isibakala sokuba eli Ukrainian kunye Russian uya kusitshutshisa omnye komnye, ukuba nje esandleni. Kodwa ke, njengoko izazinzulu ezininzi zezopolitiko bakholelwa namhlanje, akayi kuba negalelo elikhulu kuphuhliso kubudlelwane babo kweli lizwe. Ngaphezu koko, kungekudala Russia iza kuba negalelo ngomnyango nga crisis eUkraine. Oku kuya kwenzeka xa West uyala mali ngakumbi "unreliability" karhulumente. Kwaba ngoko ukuba Ukraine ukuqonda ukuba ngubani "umhlobo wokwenene 'zabo.

imbono Political malunga nekamva Ukraine

Kunika umdla ukuva izimvo ziingcali ukuba ulindele kweli lizwe abazalwana elizayo. Isazinzulu German kwezopolitiko ichaza bayahlelwa Ukraine kwixesha elizayo: "Ilizwe akayi uye rapprochement kunye eMoscow, njengoko akukho nzuzo. Ukraine ubona izinto ezininzi wayesebenzisana European Union. Bonke izixholoxholo emva konyulo kamongameli uya livunyelwe. " Enye into icacile - ngoku urhulumente ujongene ukhetho. Kunye nophuhliso yayo kuya kuxhomekeka kuyo. Kodwa njengokuba iintetho Ukraine ulindele kwixesha elizayo, omnye umhlalutyi wezopolitiko Vladimir Belyaminov: "Eli lizwe ilinde federalization. Le yeyona ndlela kuphela elichanekileyo ngaphandle ntlekele. " efanayo Uluvo ethandwa ziingcali ezininzi. umhlalutyi Political Vadim Karasev wathi ukuba kungakhathaliseki ukuba iziphumo zonyulo olulandelayo umongameli kuya kufuneka ukuba 'bangenzi kunye imbumba oligarchic kweli lizwe. " Ngamanye amazwi, intloko karhulumente kuya kufuneka ukuba ngamaqhinga phakathi komdla tycoons zoshishino Ukrainian.

Abavumisi ngeenkwenkwezi noosiyazi malunga ikamva Ukraine

Ngoku kunzima ukuqikelela ukuba imeko eyinkimbinkimbi e-Ukraine iza kugqitywa njani. Abavumbuli beenkwenkwezi kunye neengqondo zivele ziqikelele ukuphuhliswa koburhulumente kumnyaka ozayo. Ikusasa le-Ukraine emva kokuba iMaidan ininzi ibona ukuhlanganiswa kwezopolitiko nezoqoqosho ngelizwe kunye neRashiya, kungekhona ne-EU. Kodwa akuyi kwenzeka kude kube ngo-2015, utsho u-Igor Nikishin, umlawuli we-Ukrainian Astrological Institute ePavel Globa. Uphinde uxela utshintsho olukhulu kumacandelo ezopolitiko kunye noqoqosho kwiminyaka emibini ezayo. UNazar Lebyak, inxaxheba kwixesha le-9 leMfazwe ye-Psychics, uthi lo nyaka uya kuba noxolo ngokwaneleyo kwi-Ukrainians. Kodwa i-numerologist uLyudmila Savina wachaza ukuba u-2014 kunye no-2015 kuya kuba nzima kwi-Ukraine, kodwa kunzima. Ngelo xesha, imigaqo eyisiseko yokuphuhliswa kwekarhulumente kwixesha elizayo iya kubeka.

Ukuqulunqa

Kwaye ngoku siya kushwankathela umgaqo-nkqubo malunga nokuguqulwa komgaqo-nkqubo kunye noqoqosho lwe-Ukraine kuza kulandela iMaidan. Bobabini izazinzulu bezopolitiko kunye neengqondo ziyavuma ukuba yonke into ebaluleke kakhulu kwilizwe sele isemva kwethu. Bathetha ukuba akuyi kuphinda kuphinde kubekho ukuphindaphinda kwe-Maidan, kwaye wonke u-2014 uya kuzinza uhulumeni. Ukudibanisa kweUkraine kunye neYurophu yaseYurophu, ngokuqinisekileyo, ayiyi kwenzeka, nangona urhulumente okwangoku uzimisele ukwenza njalo. Iingcebiso ezilungileyo ezivela eRashiya malunga nendlela yokulwa neengxaki kwilizwe, i-Ukraine iya kuhlola emva kwe-2015-2020. Ngaphambili kombuso elinde umsebenzi omningi kunye nokuguqulwa, kodwa i-Ukraine iya kusinda kweli xesha elinzima kwaye lijongane neengxaki zabo. I-EU, inokwenzeka ukuba, iya kupheka ukuba ikhona njengeyunithi yezoqoqosho. I-United States iya kulahlekelwa yimo yayo njengenkokeli yehlabathi. Kwaye iRashiya ilindele isigaba esitsha sophuhliso. Kwaye akuyi kudlula ngaphandle kokuthatha inxaxheba kwe-Ukraine.